La scuola delle quote

Vegas Golden Knights v Winnipeg Jets

Inizio: 2026-04-14 02:10 UTC

Finale: Vegas Golden Knights 6–2 Winnipeg Jets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)

Previsione 61.53%1.63quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -2.16%
Kelly -5.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.76%61.64%61.58%63.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.551.561.5769.93%64.51%64.10%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Winnipeg Jets (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.47%2.60quota equa
EV +1.93%
Vantaggio +0.730%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.30%38.36%38.42%39.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.492.472.6543.48%40.22%40.49%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.08%E -4.69%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.93%E +0.730%K +1.17%G +0.023%4.0%2026-04-14 02:04
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 02:00
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 21:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.759%E -0.294%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 06:30
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 22:04
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 02:05
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 22:00
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 02:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 00:50
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.30%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 09:24
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.68%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.68%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 02:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 22:00
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 02:00
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 02:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 02:05
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.22%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 02:00
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 01:59
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 17:39
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 01:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 10:45
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 16:30
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:35
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:34
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:49
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:30
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 02:04
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 14:44
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 14:45
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.66%EV -12.01%E -8.40%K -27.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.34%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-14 01:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-04-14 01:59
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-14 02:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-14 02:05
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-14 02:05
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-04-14 02:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-04-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-04-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-04-14 02:05
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-04-14 02:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.25%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-14 01:59
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.7%2026-04-14 01:59
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-04-14 01:59
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%5.2%2026-04-13 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%5.5%2026-04-13 23:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%5.5%2026-04-13 23:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%5.5%2026-04-13 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-14 02:00
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%6.8%2026-04-13 23:34
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%7.6%2026-04-13 23:35
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%8.0%2026-04-14 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-14 01:59
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%8.1%2026-04-14 02:04
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%8.3%2026-04-14 02:05
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-14 01:59
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%8.9%2026-04-14 02:05
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%12.3%2026-04-13 23:35