L’École des cotesFrançais
Vegas Golden Knights v Winnipeg Jets
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prévision 61.53%1.63cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -5.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%61.64%61.58%63.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.551.561.5769.93%64.51%64.10%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Winnipeg Jets (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.47%2.60cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.730%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%38.36%38.42%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.472.6543.48%40.22%40.49%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.08%E -4.69%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.93%E +0.730%K +1.17%G +0.023% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 02:00 |
| Everygame | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-13 21:59 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.759%E -0.294%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 06:30 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 22:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.30%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.68%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.68%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 02:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 02:00 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.22%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 02:00 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 01:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 10:45 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 16:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 00:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 01:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 02:04 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 01:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 01:30 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 14:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.66%EV -12.01%E -8.40%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.34%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-14 01:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| Novig | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.25% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 01:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 02:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |