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Vegas Golden Knights v Utah Mammoth
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 58.88%1.70fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.93%58.88%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.631.621.6866.67%61.52%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Mammoth (Visit)
Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV +2.80%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.07%41.12%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.322.352.5047.17%43.16%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 58.88%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 41.12%. For Utah Mammoth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.80%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.15%E -5.22%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.80%E +1.12%K +1.87%G +0.052% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.31%E -0.545%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-20 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 01:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.08%E -0.646%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-20 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.38%E -4.01%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-20 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.19%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 01:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.19%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -1.08%E -0.646%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-20 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.01%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -5.83%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.89%E -3.52%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 01:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 01:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -11.68%E -7.79%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 01:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-04-20 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 2.6% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 01:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 01:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 02:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.15% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14% | 12.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |