La scuola delle quote

Vegas Golden Knights v Utah Mammoth

Inizio: 2026-04-20 02:25 UTC

Finale: Vegas Golden Knights 4–2 Utah Mammoth

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)

Previsione 58.88%1.70quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.646%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.93%58.88%61.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.631.621.6866.67%61.52%61.73%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Utah Mammoth (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.12%2.43quota equa
EV +2.80%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.42%41.07%41.12%43.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.322.352.5047.17%43.16%42.55%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.15%E -5.22%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.80%E +1.12%K +1.87%G +0.052%4.1%2026-04-20 02:10
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.31%E -0.545%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 02:05
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:25
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 02:10
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 01:15
theScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.08%E -0.646%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 01:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:19
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 22:15
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 22:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:50
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 02:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 01:35
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:25
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.38%E -4.01%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 02:10
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-20 01:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.19%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 01:45
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.19%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 01:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -1.08%E -0.646%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 01:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 01:50
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.01%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 01:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 01:25
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -5.83%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:55
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 02:10
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.89%E -3.52%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 01:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:19
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 01:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 01:49
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -11.68%E -7.79%K -23.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 01:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-04-20 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-20 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-20 02:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-20 02:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-20 02:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-04-20 02:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-20 02:10
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-04-20 02:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-04-19 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-04-19 22:15
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-04-19 22:15
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-04-19 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-04-20 02:00
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-04-20 01:35
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%4.8%2026-04-20 01:59
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-19 22:15
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-19 22:15
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-19 22:15
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-19 22:15
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%5.3%2026-04-20 01:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%6.2%2026-04-20 01:54
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-19 17:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-04-20 02:00
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%6.8%2026-04-20 01:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-04-19 22:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-20 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%8.2%2026-04-20 02:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-20 02:00
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.15%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%12.3%2026-04-19 22:15