L’École des cotesFrançais
Vegas Golden Knights v Utah Mammoth
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prévision 58.88%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.646%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.93%58.88%61.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.621.6866.67%61.52%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Utah Mammoth (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.12%2.43cote équitable
EV +2.80%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%41.07%41.12%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.322.352.5047.17%43.16%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.15%E -5.22%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.80%E +1.12%K +1.87%G +0.052% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.31%E -0.545%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-20 02:05 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 01:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.08%E -0.646%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-20 01:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:19 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 01:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.38%E -4.01%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-20 01:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.19%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 01:45 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.19%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -1.08%E -0.646%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-20 01:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.01%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| ReBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -5.83%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 01:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.89%E -3.52%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 01:25 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 01:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 01:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -11.68%E -7.79%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 01:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-04-20 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 2.6% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 02:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 01:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 01:59 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 01:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 01:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 02:04 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.15% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14% | 12.3% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |