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Vegas Golden Knights v Edmonton Oilers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 57.01%1.75fair odd
EV -0.797%
Edge -0.458%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%56.98%57.14%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.681.691.7465.36%59.37%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Edmonton Oilers (Visit)
Prediction 42.99%2.33fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.02%42.86%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.39%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 57.01%; Edmonton Oilers (Visit): 42.99%. For Edmonton Oilers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.270%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.797%E -0.458%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.797%E -0.458%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.73%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:28 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -6.72%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 01:26 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 01:32 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.270%E -0.117%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.36%E -3.23%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.57%E -2.06%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.36%E -3.23%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.57%E -2.06%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.13%E -0.491%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:27 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.50%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.42%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -11.88%E -5.79%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.10% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.12% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.93% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 01:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |