L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Edmonton Oilers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 01:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 57.01%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.797%
Avantage -0.458%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%56.98%57.14%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.681.691.7465.36%59.37%59.17%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Edmonton Oilers (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.99%2.33cote équitable
EV -0.270%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.205%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%43.02%42.86%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.39%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.797%E -0.458%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 01:34
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.797%E -0.458%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.73%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 01:28
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 01:34
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 01:35
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 01:29
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 01:35
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 01:34
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 01:35
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 01:35
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 01:35
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -6.72%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 01:26
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:34
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 01:33
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 01:34
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:34
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 01:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 01:34
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 01:35
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 01:34
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 01:32
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 01:34
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.270%E -0.117%K -0.205%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 01:35
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 01:35
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 01:34
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:34
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.36%E -3.23%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.57%E -2.06%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:35
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.36%E -3.23%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.57%E -2.06%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:35
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.13%E -0.491%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 01:34
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 01:34
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 01:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 01:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 01:27
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 01:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.50%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.42%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:34
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -11.88%E -5.79%K -11.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-27 01:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-27 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-27 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-27 01:35
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-27 01:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-27 01:34
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-27 01:35
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82%1.1%2026-03-27 01:35
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-27 01:29
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-03-27 01:35

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-27 01:34
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-27 01:34
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-27 01:35
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-27 01:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.10%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84%4.3%2026-03-27 01:34
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.12%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.93%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-03-27 01:29
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09%4.8%2026-03-27 01:29
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-27 01:35
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-27 01:34
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-27 01:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-27 01:34
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-27 01:35
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-03-27 01:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-03-27 01:35
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%8.2%2026-03-27 01:35
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%8.4%2026-03-27 01:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-03-27 01:35
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-03-27 01:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%8.7%2026-03-27 01:29
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-03-27 01:31
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%9.1%2026-03-27 01:35