La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vegas Golden Knights v Edmonton Oilers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 57.01%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.797%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%56.98%57.14%58.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.681.691.7465.36%59.37%59.17%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Edmonton Oilers (Visitante)
Predicción 42.99%2.33momio equitativo
EV -0.270%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.205%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%43.02%42.86%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.39%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.797%E -0.458%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.797%E -0.458%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.73%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:28 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.94%E -1.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.29%E -2.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -6.72%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 01:26 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.51%E -1.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:33 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 01:32 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.65%E -2.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.270%E -0.117%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.58%E -3.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.36%E -3.23%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.57%E -2.06%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.36%E -3.23%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.57%E -2.06%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.13%E -0.491%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.99%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.28%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:27 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.43%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.50%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.42%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -11.88%E -5.79%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Novig | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.10% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.12% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.93% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 01:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 01:31 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 01:35 |