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Vegas Golden Knights v Edmonton Oilers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.98%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.901.911.9856.50%52.53%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Edmonton Oilers (Visit)
Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.02%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.911.9557.14%52.47%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 49.98%; Edmonton Oilers (Visit): 50.02%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.04%E -0.524%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 01:21 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 19:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.89%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.89%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:22 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 07:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 07:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 05:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 10:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 06:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 07:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 19:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 07:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 07:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.47%E -7.12%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-03-09 01:23 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.89% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.92% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 01:18 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.27% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.96% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.07% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56% | 8.1% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.99% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-09 01:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.63% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.23% | 11.1% | 2026-03-09 01:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 38.93% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 01:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |