L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Edmonton Oilers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 01:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 49.98%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.524%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%49.98%50.00%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.901.911.9856.50%52.53%52.36%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Edmonton Oilers (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.02%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%50.02%50.00%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.911.911.9557.14%52.47%52.36%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.04%E -0.524%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-09 01:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:21
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 19:24
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 19:24
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 01:24
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.89%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.89%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:22
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:24
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:59
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 05:00
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:59
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 10:58
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 01:24
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:24
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 06:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 11:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 11:59
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 01:25
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 07:59
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 01:25
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 07:59
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 07:59
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 16:34
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:24
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:25
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.47%E -7.12%K -16.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-09 01:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 04:59
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%1.0%2026-03-09 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-03-09 01:23
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-09 01:24
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-09 01:25

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:24
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15%3.8%2026-03-08 20:59
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.89%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.92%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%4.9%2026-03-09 01:24
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-03-09 01:25
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:18
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:24
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.27%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-09 01:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.96%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%6.9%2026-03-09 01:24
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-08 20:59
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.07%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%8.1%2026-03-09 01:24
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.99%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%9.1%2026-03-08 20:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-08 20:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.63%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.23%11.1%2026-03-09 01:21
Unibet (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 38.93%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%11.2%2026-03-09 01:24
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%13.9%2026-03-08 18:49