默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Edmonton Oilers

开赛时间: 2026-03-09 01:40 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 49.98%2.00公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.524%
Kelly -1.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.95%49.98%50.00%51.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.901.911.9856.50%52.53%52.36%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Edmonton Oilers (客队)

预测 50.02%2.00公平赔率
EV -2.46%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -2.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
48.95%50.02%50.00%51.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.911.911.9557.14%52.47%52.36%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vegas Golden Knights (主队):49.98%;Edmonton Oilers (客队):50.02%。 对于“Vegas Golden Knights (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.00。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.98,期望值为-1.04%,未产生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.04%E -0.524%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-09 01:25
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:21
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 19:24
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 01:24
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.89%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.89%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:24
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:22
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:59
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 07:59
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:24
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:59
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 05:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:59
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 10:58
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 01:24
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 06:44
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 11:59
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 11:59
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 01:25
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 07:59
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 01:25
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 07:59
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 07:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:24
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 01:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.47%E -7.12%K -16.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-09 01:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 04:59
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%1.0%2026-03-09 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-03-09 01:23
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-09 01:24
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-09 01:25

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15%3.8%2026-03-08 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.89%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.92%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%4.9%2026-03-09 01:24
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-03-09 01:25
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:18
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-09 01:24
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.27%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-09 01:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.96%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%6.9%2026-03-09 01:24
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-08 20:59
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.07%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%8.1%2026-03-09 01:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.99%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%9.1%2026-03-08 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-08 20:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-09 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.63%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.23%11.1%2026-03-09 01:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 38.93%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%11.2%2026-03-09 01:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%13.9%2026-03-08 18:49