The School of Odds

Vegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks

2026-09-30 02:40 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

5 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prediction 68.01%1.47fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -10.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%68.01%68.18%68.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4174%72%71%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)

Prediction 31.99%3.13fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.31%31.99%31.82%32.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.953.0536%34%34%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 02:15
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.43%E -0.796%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 22:20
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 22:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 01:55
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.47%E -3.93%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.43%E -0.796%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 22:20
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.51%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.43%E -3.72%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 00:03
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.51%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.43%E -3.72%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 02:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (5)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%6.1%2026-07-15 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%7.2%2026-07-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%9.9%2026-07-16 01:49
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.34%12.9%2026-07-16 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.10%18.5%2026-07-16 01:49