Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks

2026-09-30 02:40 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prediction 68.71%1.46fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%68.74%68.87%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4274.07%72.59%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)

Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.746%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.26%31.13%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.50%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 68.71%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 31.29%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.68%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%4.3%2026-07-17 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%4.3%2026-07-17 22:29
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -7.24%E -5.36%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV +0.740%E +0.230%K +0.333%G +0.002%5.1%2026-07-28 17:14
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.114%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.114%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 00:45
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.114%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 01:00
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.114%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 04:30
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -3.80%E -2.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -1.14%E -0.360%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 12:45
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -3.80%E -2.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -1.14%E -0.360%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 12:50
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.17%E -3.75%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:58
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.17%E -3.75%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 16:20
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.17%E -3.75%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 16:19
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.17%E -3.75%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 17:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 19:14
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.80%E -2.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 22:20
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 22:20
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 00:45
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.43%E -1.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.80%E -2.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 11:05
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.17%E -3.75%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 15:15
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.11%E -2.21%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 17:30
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.11%E -2.21%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 17:30
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 18:34
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 18:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.16%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.81%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.03%2.9%2026-07-28 18:19
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%4.6%2026-07-28 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-07-21 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-07-21 16:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-07-21 16:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-07-21 16:20
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-07-30 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.3%2026-07-21 15:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-07-21 16:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-07-21 16:19
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-07-21 16:30
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%6.1%2026-07-21 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%9.8%2026-07-28 17:15
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%10.0%2026-07-28 17:19
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.22%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%12.0%2026-07-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%12.9%2026-07-28 17:15
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%12.9%2026-07-28 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.24%17.7%2026-07-28 17:15