默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks

开赛时间: 2026-09-30 02:45 UTC

最终结果: Vegas Golden Knights 5–2 Chicago Blackhawks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 69.54%1.44公平赔率
EV -1.25%
优势 -0.878%
Kelly -2.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
67.38%69.34%69.54%70.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.72%72.46%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Blackhawks (客队)

预测 30.46%3.28公平赔率
EV -0.106%
优势 -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.28

博彩公司预测分布
29.61%30.66%30.46%32.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.113.153.2835.09%32.13%31.75%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vegas Golden Knights (主队):69.54%;Chicago Blackhawks (客队):30.46%。 对于“Chicago Blackhawks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.283。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.280,期望值为-0.106%,未产生正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.25%E -0.878%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -8.63%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-30 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -3.76%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-30 02:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -3.76%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-30 02:35
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.63%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 02:35
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 02:18
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 02:18
Everygame🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.33%E -2.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-30 02:35
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.106%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-30 01:45
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.15%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-30 02:35
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:13
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:40
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:40
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:30
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 02:35
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 02:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.81%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 00:44
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.63%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 02:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.20%E -4.63%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.72%E -3.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:15
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.72%E -3.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.67%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 02:40
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.72%E -3.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 02:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 01:54
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 01:54
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 01:54
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 02:30
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 00:30
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.11%E -2.33%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.11%E -2.33%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.11%E -4.53%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 02:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -9.59%E -7.38%K -31.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-27 12:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-09-30 02:15
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-30 02:30
Polymarket◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-09-30 02:35
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-09-29 15:30
Novig◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-09-30 02:40
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%3.2%2026-09-30 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%5.9%2026-09-30 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%6.4%2026-09-30 02:35
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-09-30 02:40

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-09-30 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-09-30 02:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-09-30 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-09-30 02:30
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.86%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.24%4.7%2026-09-30 02:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.98%4.8%2026-09-30 02:19
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%4.9%2026-09-29 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%5.0%2026-09-30 02:40
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%5.5%2026-09-30 02:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%5.5%2026-09-30 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%5.5%2026-09-30 02:30
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%5.5%2026-09-30 02:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%6.7%2026-09-30 02:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-09-30 02:19
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%7.1%2026-09-30 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%8.5%2026-09-30 02:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%9.1%2026-09-30 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%9.3%2026-09-30 02:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%12.6%2026-09-30 02:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%12.9%2026-09-30 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.27%13.3%2026-09-30 02:20