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Vegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 69.54%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.38%69.34%69.54%70.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.72%72.46%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante)
Predicción 30.46%3.28momio equitativo
EV -0.106%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%30.66%30.46%32.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.113.153.2835.09%32.13%31.75%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 69.54%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante): 30.46%. Para Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.283. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.280, con un valor esperado de -0.106%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.25%E -0.878%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -8.63%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -3.76%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -3.76%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.63%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 02:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.64%E -1.88%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 02:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.33%E -2.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.106%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.15%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.81%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 00:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.63%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.03%E -2.92%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.20%E -4.63%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.72%E -3.45%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.72%E -3.45%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.67%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.72%E -3.45%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 01:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 01:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.11%E -2.33%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.42%E -3.98%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.11%E -2.33%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 01:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.11%E -4.53%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.54%E -0.795%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -9.59%E -7.38%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-27 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | -0.1% | 2026-09-30 02:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.86% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.24% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 02:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.98% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 02:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48% | 8.5% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 9.1% | 2026-09-30 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79% | 9.3% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18% | 12.6% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.38% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61% | 12.9% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.27% | 13.3% | 2026-09-30 02:20 |