La escuela de los momiosVegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 68.55%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -6.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.31%68.64%68.36%70.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.381.381.4274.07%72.55%72.46%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante)
Predicción 31.45%3.18momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.686%
Kelly +0.990%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.48%31.36%31.64%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.54%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
18 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (25 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV +1.60%E +0.495%K +0.717%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 00:45 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -0.603%E -0.191%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -0.603%E -0.191%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 12:50 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.803%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.803%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 16:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.803%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.49%E -0.803%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 19:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 22:20 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 00:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-24 16:05 |
| Caesars | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 15:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-17 18:34 |
| betano_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-17 18:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (18)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.16% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.81% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 21.03% | 2.9% | 2026-07-21 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 15:20 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 16:19 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Betway | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34% | 10.3% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.22% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77% | 12.0% | 2026-07-24 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.23% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.95% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.82% | 13.2% | 2026-07-21 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.23% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.95% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.82% | 13.2% | 2026-07-21 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 54.98% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17% | 18.1% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |