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Vegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 66.58%1.50fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.55%66.43%67.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.431.441.4875.76%69.75%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)
Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.551%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.42%33.45%33.57%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.842.852.9637.45%35.19%35.09%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 66.58%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 33.42%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.96, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -1.46%E -0.987%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -1.46%E -0.987%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.13%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.75%E -0.945%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 01:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -1.08%E -0.365%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -2.75%E -0.945%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 02:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.92%EV -12.11%E -9.18%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.08%EV -10.77%E -4.03%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.11% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 02:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 02:02 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.37% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.88% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 01:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70% | 11.0% | 2026-03-15 02:03 |