默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks

开赛时间: 2026-03-15 02:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 66.58%1.50公平赔率
EV -1.46%
优势 -0.987%
Kelly -3.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
65.06%66.55%66.43%67.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.431.441.4875.76%69.75%69.44%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Blackhawks (客队)

预测 33.42%2.99公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.365%
Kelly -0.551%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.96

博彩公司预测分布
32.42%33.45%33.57%34.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.672.842.852.9637.45%35.19%35.09%33.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vegas Golden Knights (主队):66.58%;Chicago Blackhawks (客队):33.42%。 对于“Chicago Blackhawks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.99。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.96,期望值为-1.08%,未产生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -1.46%E -0.987%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -1.46%E -0.987%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.13%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-15 02:05
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.75%E -0.945%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 01:59
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:01
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 01:54
Paddy Power🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -1.08%E -0.365%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 02:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -2.75%E -0.945%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 02:05
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 02:05
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.92%EV -12.11%E -9.18%K -37.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.08%EV -10.77%E -4.03%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 02:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-15 02:05
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-15 02:05
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-03-15 02:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-03-15 01:59
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.11%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07%4.8%2026-03-15 01:59
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%7.0%2026-03-15 02:05
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%7.8%2026-03-15 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%8.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-03-15 02:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%8.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%9.0%2026-03-15 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%9.3%2026-03-15 02:02
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.37%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.88%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%10.8%2026-03-15 01:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70%11.0%2026-03-15 02:03