L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Chicago Blackhawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 66.58%1.50cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%66.55%66.43%67.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.431.441.4875.76%69.75%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Blackhawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.551%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.42%33.45%33.57%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.672.842.852.9637.45%35.19%35.09%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -1.46%E -0.987%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -1.46%E -0.987%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.13%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-15 02:05
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 02:05
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.75%E -0.945%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 01:59
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:01
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:05
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 01:54
Paddy Power1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -1.08%E -0.365%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 02:04
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -2.75%E -0.945%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 02:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 02:05
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 02:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:03
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:04
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.92%EV -12.11%E -9.18%K -37.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.08%EV -10.77%E -4.03%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-15 02:05
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-15 02:05
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-03-15 02:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%3.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%4.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-03-15 01:59
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.11%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07%4.8%2026-03-15 01:59
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%5.7%2026-03-15 02:05
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%7.0%2026-03-15 02:05
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%7.8%2026-03-15 02:05
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%8.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-03-15 02:05
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%8.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%9.0%2026-03-15 02:00
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%9.3%2026-03-15 02:02
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.37%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.88%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%10.8%2026-03-15 01:58
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70%11.0%2026-03-15 02:03