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Vegas Golden Knights v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 48.55%2.06fair odd
EV +0.974%
Edge +0.468%
Kelly +0.902%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%48.41%48.59%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.961.962.0855.25%50.94%51.15%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 51.45%1.94fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.59%51.41%52.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.851.851.9158.48%54.02%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 48.55%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 51.45%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.974%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +0.974%E +0.468%K +0.902%G +0.009% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-14 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.94%E -0.960%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.29%E -2.31%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.94%E -0.960%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.29%E -2.31%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-15 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.26%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-14 23:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.26%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-14 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.32%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.85%E -2.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.85%E -2.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-14 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 06:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 06:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-14 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-14 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 06:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 06:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 23:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 06:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 06:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.901%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.13%E -6.70%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.01%E -7.02%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 04:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-06-14 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 3.5% | 2026-06-14 23:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66% | 2.7% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66% | 2.7% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66% | 2.7% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66% | 2.7% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.17% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.06% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 23:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 00:07 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-06-14 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24% | 7.6% | 2026-06-14 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70% | 12.5% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |