A Escola das Odds

Vegas Golden Knights v Carolina Hurricanes

Início: 2026-06-15 00:20 UTC

Final: Vegas Golden Knights 0–3 Carolina Hurricanes

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Previsão 48.55%2.06odd justa
EV +0.974%
Vantagem +0.468%
Kelly +0.902%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.07%48.41%48.59%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.811.961.962.0855.25%50.94%51.15%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carolina Hurricanes (Visitante)

Previsão 51.45%1.94odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.901%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.59%51.41%52.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.851.851.9158.48%54.02%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +0.974%E +0.468%K +0.902%G +0.009%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 23:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.94%E -0.960%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.29%E -2.31%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.94%E -0.960%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.29%E -2.31%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 00:10
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 00:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 23:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 23:50
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 15:10
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 23:40
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.26%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 23:50
ReBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.26%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 23:40
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 00:10
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.32%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 00:10
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 00:10
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 00:09
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.85%E -2.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 00:00
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.85%E -2.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 22:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 06:29
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 00:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 06:30
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 20:20
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 22:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:48
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 00:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 00:10
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 06:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.901%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.13%E -6.70%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.01%E -7.02%K -16.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-15 00:10
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-12 04:20
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-06-15 00:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-14 23:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-15 00:00
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-06-15 00:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-06-15 00:10
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%3.5%2026-06-14 23:50

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.17%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.7%2026-06-14 23:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%4.8%2026-06-15 00:10
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.06%4.9%2026-06-14 23:50
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-14 22:50
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%6.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%6.7%2026-06-15 00:07
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-06-14 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%7.2%2026-06-14 23:50
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%7.5%2026-06-15 00:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-06-14 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%9.0%2026-06-15 00:00
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%12.5%2026-06-15 00:00