L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 00:20 UTC

Score final : Vegas Golden Knights 0–3 Carolina Hurricanes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 48.55%2.06cote équitable
EV +0.974%
Avantage +0.468%
Kelly +0.902%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.07%48.41%48.59%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.962.0855.25%50.94%51.15%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.45%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.901%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.59%51.41%52.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.851.851.9158.48%54.02%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +0.974%E +0.468%K +0.902%G +0.009%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 23:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.94%E -0.960%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.29%E -2.31%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.94%E -0.960%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.29%E -2.31%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 00:10
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 00:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 23:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 23:50
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 15:10
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 23:40
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.26%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 23:50
ReBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.26%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 23:40
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 00:10
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.32%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 00:10
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 00:10
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 00:09
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.85%E -2.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 00:00
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.85%E -2.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 22:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 06:29
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 00:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 06:30
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 20:20
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 22:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:48
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 00:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 00:10
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 06:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.901%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.13%E -6.70%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.01%E -7.02%K -16.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-15 00:10
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-12 04:20
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-06-15 00:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-14 23:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-15 00:00
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-06-15 00:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-06-15 00:10
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%3.5%2026-06-14 23:50

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.17%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.7%2026-06-14 23:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%4.8%2026-06-15 00:10
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.06%4.9%2026-06-14 23:50
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%5.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-14 22:50
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%6.1%2026-06-15 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-06-15 00:00
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%6.7%2026-06-15 00:07
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-06-14 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%7.2%2026-06-14 23:50
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%7.5%2026-06-15 00:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-06-14 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%9.0%2026-06-15 00:00
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%12.5%2026-06-15 00:00