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Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 60.67%1.65fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%60.67%60.66%61.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.581.571.6168.97%63.45%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anaheim Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV +0.696%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.01%39.33%39.34%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.432.5644.44%41.38%41.15%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 60.67%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 39.33%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.696%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV +0.696%E +0.272%K +0.446%G +0.003% | 2.8% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 01:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 14:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 21:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.81%E -1.99%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.81%E -1.99%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 01:02 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 01:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 07:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 01:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -12.03%E -8.30%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 61.05% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.95% | -0.1% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 1.5% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.26% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 01:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 01:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 01:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 01:33 |