L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 01:50 UTC

Score final : Vegas Golden Knights 3–1 Anaheim Ducks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 60.67%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -3.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.49%60.67%60.66%61.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.581.571.6168.97%63.45%63.69%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anaheim Ducks (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.33%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.696%
Avantage +0.272%
Kelly +0.446%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.01%39.33%39.34%40.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.432.5644.44%41.38%41.15%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV +0.696%E +0.272%K +0.446%G +0.003%2.8%2026-05-05 01:39
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 01:43
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 01:44
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 17:50
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 01:44
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 01:39
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 01:39
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 14:44
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 21:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 01:29
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:24
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:39
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 00:40
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 01:44
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 14:45
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.81%E -1.99%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 01:44
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.81%E -1.99%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 18:08
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 01:30
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 01:19
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 01:02
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:35
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 00:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 01:24
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 01:34
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 01:33
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 07:40
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:49
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 01:45
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 01:34
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 01:19
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -12.03%E -8.30%K -26.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 01:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 61.05%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.95%-0.1%2026-05-05 01:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-05 01:44
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-05 01:44
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%1.3%2026-05-05 01:44
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-05 01:44
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-05 01:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-05-05 01:44
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%7.2%2026-05-05 01:30
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-05-05 01:44

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%1.5%2026-05-05 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-05-05 01:34
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-05-05 01:44
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-05-05 01:44
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-05-05 01:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-05-05 01:45
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%4.5%2026-05-05 01:39
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-05-04 17:35
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.26%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52%4.6%2026-05-05 01:20
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-05-05 01:20
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%4.8%2026-05-05 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%5.0%2026-05-05 01:30
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%5.8%2026-05-05 01:44
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-05-05 01:29
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-05-05 01:29
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%6.6%2026-05-05 01:33
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-05-05 01:24
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%7.1%2026-05-05 01:19
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%7.6%2026-05-05 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%8.2%2026-05-05 01:30
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%12.4%2026-05-05 01:33