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Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 60.67%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -3.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.67%60.66%61.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.581.571.6168.97%63.45%63.69%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Anaheim Ducks (Visitante)
Predicción 39.33%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.696%
Ventaja +0.272%
Kelly +0.446%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.01%39.33%39.34%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.432.5644.44%41.38%41.15%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 60.67%; Anaheim Ducks (Visitante): 39.33%. Para Anaheim Ducks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.54. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.56, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.696%.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV +0.696%E +0.272%K +0.446%G +0.003% | 2.8% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 01:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 14:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 21:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.81%E -1.99%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.81%E -1.99%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 01:02 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 01:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 07:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 01:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -12.03%E -8.30%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 61.05% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.95% | -0.1% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 1.5% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.26% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 01:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 01:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 01:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 01:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 01:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 01:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.64% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 01:33 |