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Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 59.53%1.68fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.52%59.74%59.39%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.611.611.6468.97%62.27%62.11%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anaheim Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 40.47%2.47fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.467%
Kelly +0.778%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.26%40.61%41.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.46%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 59.53%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 40.47%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.17%E +0.467%K +0.778%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.451%E -0.183%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.856%E -0.349%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.67%E -0.685%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.67%E -0.685%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 13:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 01:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 13:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 01:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.31%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.34%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 01:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -13.68%E -9.43%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -10.97%E -4.99%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-13 01:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 00:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-05-13 01:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 01:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 01:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60% | 12.9% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |