L’École des cotesFrançais
Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prévision 59.53%1.68cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.52%59.74%59.39%61.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.611.611.6468.97%62.27%62.11%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Anaheim Ducks (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.47%2.47cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.467%
Kelly +0.778%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%40.26%40.61%41.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.46%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.17%E +0.467%K +0.778%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.451%E -0.183%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.856%E -0.349%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.67%E -0.685%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.67%E -0.685%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 13:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 01:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 13:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 01:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.31%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 01:40 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 14:20 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.34%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 01:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -13.68%E -9.43%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -10.97%E -4.99%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-13 01:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 00:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| BetOpenly | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-05-13 01:29 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-05-13 01:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 01:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 01:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 01:19 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 01:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60% | 12.9% | 2026-05-13 01:30 |