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Utah Mammoth v Washington Capitals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Prediction 55.14%1.81fair odd
EV -0.755%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.16%55.27%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.741.741.8063.29%57.58%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Capitals (Visit)
Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.84%44.73%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.122.132.2050.76%47.10%46.95%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Mammoth (Local): 55.14%; Washington Capitals (Visit): 44.86%. For Utah Mammoth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -0.755%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.755%E -0.420%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 22:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 22:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 21:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.30%E -0.590%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.30%E -0.590%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.89%E -8.16%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -11.62%E -5.90%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 00:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09% | -0.1% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-27 00:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.26% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |