La scuola delle quote

Utah Mammoth v Washington Capitals

Inizio: 2026-03-27 01:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Utah Mammoth (Casa)

Previsione 55.14%1.81quota equa
EV -0.755%
Vantaggio -0.420%
Kelly -0.944%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%55.16%55.27%56.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.741.741.8063.29%57.58%57.47%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Capitals (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.86%2.23quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.590%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.73%44.84%44.73%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.122.132.2050.76%47.10%46.95%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.755%E -0.420%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 22:59
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 00:25
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 00:34
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 00:34
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:34
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 22:54
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 22:38
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:35
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 00:04
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:14
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:58
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:20
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 00:34
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 18:35
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 18:34
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 18:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 18:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 21:20
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 18:24
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 18:19
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:20
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:20
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 18:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:14
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 21:19
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 21:19
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.30%E -0.590%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:25
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.30%E -0.590%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:24
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:25
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 17:54
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.89%E -8.16%K -22.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -11.62%E -5.90%K -11.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-27 00:23
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-03-26 23:15
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-03-27 00:24
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-27 00:35
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-27 00:25
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-26 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-03-27 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-03-27 00:35
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-03-27 00:35
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-03-27 00:35

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-03-26 21:39
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-03-26 21:40
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-03-26 21:40
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-03-26 21:40
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.26%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%3.2%2026-03-27 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-03-26 22:54
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-03-27 00:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-26 22:49
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-26 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-26 21:40
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-26 21:39
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-26 21:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-03-26 22:59
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%6.7%2026-03-26 21:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-03-26 20:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-26 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%8.5%2026-03-26 22:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%8.5%2026-03-26 22:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-26 22:55
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-26 22:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%9.7%2026-03-26 22:55