L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.80
avec la cote maximale 2.20
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.755%E -0.420%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 22:38 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| ReBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 22:58 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:35 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 21:20 |
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 18:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 23:20 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 21:19 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.00%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 21:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.30%E -0.590%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:25 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.30%E -0.590%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 20:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 17:54 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.89%E -8.16%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -11.62%E -5.90%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 00:23 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09% | -0.1% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-27 00:24 |
| ProphetX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| BetOpenly | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.26% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 20:25 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |