Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Toronto Maple Leafs v Washington Capitals
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Toronto Maple Leafs (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 41.41%2.41kurs godziwy
EV -2.27%
Przewaga -0.960%
Kelly -1.67%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.36
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.51%41.46%41.33%42.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.122.302.302.3647.17%43.49%43.48%42.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Washington Capitals (Goście)
Prognoza 58.59%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -2.16%
Przewaga -1.29%
Kelly -3.22%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.14%58.54%58.67%59.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.641.651.6766.67%61.13%60.61%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
21 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.27%E -0.960%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 21:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 22:59 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 22:14 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 22:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Betsson | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:09 |
| ReBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 23:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 22:20 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 20:45 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 14:09 |
| BetUS | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.17%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-08 20:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.41%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.41%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:20 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 23:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-08 17:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.71% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.29% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Novig | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Polymarket | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (21)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 23:28 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.08% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:29 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 23:28 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |