L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Toronto Maple Leafs v Washington Capitals
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)
Prévision 41.41%2.41cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.960%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%41.46%41.33%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.302.302.3647.17%43.49%43.48%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Washington Capitals (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.59%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.54%58.67%59.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.641.651.6766.67%61.13%60.61%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.27%E -0.960%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 21:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 22:59 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 22:14 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 22:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Betsson | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:09 |
| ReBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 23:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 22:20 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 20:45 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 14:09 |
| BetUS | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.17%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-08 20:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.41%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.41%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:20 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 23:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-08 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.71% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.29% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Novig | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Polymarket | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 23:28 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.08% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:29 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 23:28 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |