La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Toronto Maple Leafs v Washington Capitals
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa)
Previsione 41.41%2.41quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.960%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.51%41.46%41.33%42.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.302.302.3647.17%43.49%43.48%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Washington Capitals (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.59%1.71quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.14%58.54%58.67%59.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.641.651.6766.67%61.13%60.61%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.27%E -0.960%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 21:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 22:59 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 22:14 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 22:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Betsson | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:09 |
| ReBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 23:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 22:20 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 17:54 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 20:45 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 14:09 |
| BetUS | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.17%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-08 20:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.41%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.41%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:20 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 23:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-08 17:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (9)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.71% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.29% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Novig | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Polymarket | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 23:28 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.08% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:29 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 23:28 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 21:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |