La scuola delle quote

Toronto Maple Leafs v Carolina Hurricanes

Inizio: 2026-03-20 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa)

Previsione 33.81%2.96quota equa
EV +1.44%
Vantaggio +0.480%
Kelly +0.720%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.82%33.82%33.73%34.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.52%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carolina Hurricanes (Trasferta)

Previsione 66.19%1.51quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -4.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.01%66.18%66.27%68.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.441.451.4875.76%69.36%68.97%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:24
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 21:24
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -1.60%E -0.551%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.94%E -0.669%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 23:00
LowVig.ag2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:05
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:04
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:24
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:44
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 21:10
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:29
ReBet2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.97%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.37%E -2.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 22:59
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:24
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 23:00
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.37%E -2.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 21:15
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 02:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:25
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 05:20
MyBookie.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:54
SportsBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -6.34%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.04%E -1.38%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 22:25
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 21:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:55
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 21:05
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 21:04
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 22:59
Betsson2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -7.35%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:50
NordicBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -7.35%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:00
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.63%E -9.57%K -39.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-20 21:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%-0.2%2026-03-20 22:59
ProphetX2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-20 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%1.5%2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-03-20 23:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:25
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:25
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:24
1xBet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.77%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.94%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.30%4.6%2026-03-20 22:54
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18%NM 25.01%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00%4.7%2026-03-20 22:59
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-20 21:15
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%6.2%2026-03-20 22:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%6.9%2026-03-20 22:48
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%7.5%2026-03-20 21:24
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%7.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%8.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%8.9%2026-03-20 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%9.2%2026-03-20 22:55
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%10.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%10.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%11.2%2026-03-20 23:00