La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Toronto Maple Leafs v Carolina Hurricanes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)
Predicción 33.81%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.480%
Kelly +0.720%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%33.82%33.73%34.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.52%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Carolina Hurricanes (Visitante)
Predicción 66.19%1.51momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -4.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.01%66.18%66.27%68.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.441.451.4875.76%69.36%68.97%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -1.60%E -0.551%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.94%E -0.669%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 21:05 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 21:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Caesars | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 19:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 20:29 |
| ReBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.97%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.37%E -2.31%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| BetUS | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.37%E -2.31%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 21:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| GTbets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 02:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 05:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -6.34%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.04%E -1.38%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 21:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 21:05 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| Betsson | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -7.35%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -7.35%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.63%E -9.57%K -39.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92% | -0.2% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 0.0% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Novig | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68% | 1.5% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.77% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.94% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.30% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.01% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 22:48 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.19% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05% | 9.2% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59% | 10.4% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09% | 10.6% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16% | 11.2% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |