L’École des cotes

Toronto Maple Leafs v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)

Prévision 33.81%2.96cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.480%
Kelly +0.720%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%33.82%33.73%34.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.52%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.19%1.51cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -4.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.01%66.18%66.27%68.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.441.451.4875.76%69.36%68.97%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:24
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.44%E +0.480%K +0.720%G +0.010%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 21:24
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -1.60%E -0.551%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.94%E -0.669%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 23:00
LowVig.ag2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:05
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.95%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:04
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:24
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:44
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 21:10
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:29
ReBet2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.97%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.37%E -2.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 22:59
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:24
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 23:00
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.37%E -2.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 21:15
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 02:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:25
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 05:20
MyBookie.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:54
SportsBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -6.34%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.04%E -1.38%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 22:25
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 21:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:55
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 21:05
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 21:04
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 22:59
Betsson2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -7.35%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:50
NordicBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -7.35%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:00
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.63%E -9.57%K -39.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-20 21:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%-0.2%2026-03-20 22:59
ProphetX2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-20 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%1.5%2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-03-20 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:25
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:25
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-20 21:24
1xBet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.77%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.94%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.30%4.6%2026-03-20 22:54
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18%NM 25.01%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00%4.7%2026-03-20 22:59
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-20 21:15
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%6.2%2026-03-20 22:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%6.9%2026-03-20 22:48
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%7.5%2026-03-20 21:24
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%7.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%8.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%8.9%2026-03-20 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%9.2%2026-03-20 22:55
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%10.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%10.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%11.2%2026-03-20 23:00