A Escola das Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs v Anaheim Ducks

Início: 2026-03-12 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)

Previsão 50.89%1.97odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -0.925%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.34%50.82%51.05%52.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.881.881.9357.80%53.29%53.19%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anaheim Ducks (Visitante)

Previsão 49.11%2.04odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.639%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.18%48.95%50.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.931.942.0156.18%51.74%51.55%49.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.79%E -0.925%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:54
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:04
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.29%E -0.639%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:00
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:05
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:05
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 23:05
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:04
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:01
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:05
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:05
ReBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Betsson1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:05
NordicBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:05
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:03
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.78%E -0.888%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 23:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.78%E -0.888%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 23:03
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 23:03
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.96%E -6.92%K -16.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.58%E -7.07%K -16.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-12 22:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%0.5%2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.3%2026-03-12 23:05
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-03-12 23:05
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-03-12 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-12 23:05
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.42%3.7%2026-03-12 22:59
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-12 23:04
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.15%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.6%2026-03-12 22:59
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%4.7%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-12 23:05
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-12 23:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-03-12 23:05
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.66%9.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 40.01%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%9.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-03-12 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%11.1%2026-03-12 23:02
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%14.2%2026-03-12 23:05