La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Toronto Maple Leafs v Anaheim Ducks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)
Predicción 50.89%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.925%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.34%50.82%51.05%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.881.881.9357.80%53.29%53.19%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anaheim Ducks (Visitante)
Predicción 49.11%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.639%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%49.18%48.95%50.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.931.942.0156.18%51.74%51.55%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.79%E -0.925%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.29%E -0.639%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.78%E -0.888%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.78%E -0.888%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.96%E -6.92%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.58%E -7.07%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.42% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.15% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.66% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.01% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79% | 11.1% | 2026-03-12 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16% | 14.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |