L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Toronto Maple Leafs v Anaheim Ducks
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)
Prévision 50.89%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.925%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.34%50.82%51.05%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.881.881.9357.80%53.29%53.19%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Anaheim Ducks (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.11%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.639%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.01
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.18%48.95%50.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.942.0156.18%51.74%51.55%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.79%E -0.925%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.29%E -0.639%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.30%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.27%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.78%E -0.888%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.78%E -0.888%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.87%E -3.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.96%E -6.92%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.58%E -7.07%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.42% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.15% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.66% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.01% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79% | 11.1% | 2026-03-12 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16% | 14.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |