A Escola das Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning v Seattle Kraken

Início: 2026-03-26 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)

Previsão 71.77%1.39odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.75%
Kelly -6.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.33%71.75%71.88%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.331.331.3681.97%75.08%75.19%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Kraken (Visitante)

Previsão 28.23%3.54odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.346%
Kelly -0.485%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.54%28.25%28.12%29.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.363.403.5031.75%29.79%29.41%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 23:05
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:05
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 23:04
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 72.11%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV -1.49%E -0.428%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 23:04
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:59
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 23:05
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 23:04
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 23:03
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:04
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:05
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:05
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.21%E -0.346%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 23:03
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:05
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:05
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:04
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:04
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:04
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:04
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:04
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 23:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:05
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 22:56
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:04
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 23:03
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -12.43%E -10.19%K -56.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-26 23:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-03-26 22:59
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-26 23:05
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-26 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-26 23:03
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-26 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%3.8%2026-03-26 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%3.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%3.8%2026-03-26 23:05
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%3.8%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%4.1%2026-03-26 23:00
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%4.5%2026-03-26 23:04
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.44%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.19%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.37%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.68%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-03-26 23:04
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-03-26 23:05
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-03-26 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%6.7%2026-03-26 23:05
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%6.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%7.4%2026-03-26 23:04
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%8.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%8.9%2026-03-26 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.62%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.62%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%8.9%2026-03-26 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%9.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.87%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.87%10.6%2026-03-26 23:05