La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tampa Bay Lightning v Seattle Kraken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Predicción 71.77%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -6.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.33%71.75%71.88%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.331.331.3681.97%75.08%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Seattle Kraken (Visitante)
Predicción 28.23%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.485%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.25%28.12%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.363.403.5031.75%29.79%29.41%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.11%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV -1.49%E -0.428%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| ReBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Caesars | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.21%E -0.346%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:56 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Fliff | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -12.43%E -10.19%K -56.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-26 23:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.78% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.44% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.19% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.37% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.68% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.62% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.62% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.87% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.87% | 10.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |