L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tampa Bay Lightning v Seattle Kraken
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Prévision 71.77%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -6.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.33%71.75%71.88%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.331.331.3681.97%75.08%75.19%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Seattle Kraken (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.23%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.346%
Kelly -0.485%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%28.25%28.12%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.363.403.5031.75%29.79%29.41%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.39%E -1.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.11%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV -1.49%E -0.428%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| ReBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Caesars | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.21%E -0.346%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:56 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Fliff | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -12.43%E -10.19%K -56.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-26 23:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.78% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.44% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.19% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.37% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.68% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.62% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.62% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.87% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.87% | 10.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |