Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Tampa Bay Lightning v Ottawa Senators
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Tampa Bay Lightning (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 60.28%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -1.74%
Przewaga -1.07%
Kelly -2.76%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.63
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.05%60.20%60.30%60.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.591.591.6365.36%62.89%62.89%61.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Ottawa Senators (Goście)
Prognoza 39.72%2.52kurs godziwy
EV -2.69%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -1.86%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.35%39.80%39.70%40.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.402.402.4543.48%41.67%41.67%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (36 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| ReBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.77%E -5.08%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-28 02:11 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21% | 8.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.05% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.26% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26% | 10.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26% | 10.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73% | 17.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |