La scuola delle quote

Tampa Bay Lightning v Ottawa Senators

Inizio: 2026-03-28 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Casa)

Previsione 60.28%1.66quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.05%60.20%60.30%60.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.591.591.6365.36%62.89%62.89%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ottawa Senators (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.72%2.52quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.35%39.80%39.70%40.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.402.402.4543.48%41.67%41.67%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 01:25
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 01:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 02:15
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:00
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 02:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 19:00
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 19:00
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 02:19
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 19:05
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:30
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:25
Paddy Power1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:00
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:04
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:00
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 17:10
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 19:15
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:20
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 20:05
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:00
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:20
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 02:10
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:59
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 15:44
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.77%E -5.08%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-28 02:11
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-28 02:59
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-28 02:55
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-03-28 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-03-28 03:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%8.3%2026-03-28 03:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.05%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.26%3.0%2026-03-28 02:20
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%4.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-28 02:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-27 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-27 19:00
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-27 19:00
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-27 19:00
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%4.9%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-03-27 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-27 19:00
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-27 19:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-27 19:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-03-27 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-03-28 02:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-03-28 03:00
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-27 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%10.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%10.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%17.3%2026-03-28 03:00