L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tampa Bay Lightning v Ottawa Senators
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Prévision 60.28%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.05%60.20%60.30%60.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.591.6365.36%62.89%62.89%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.72%2.52cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.35%39.80%39.70%40.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.402.402.4543.48%41.67%41.67%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.95%E -1.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.55%E -2.22%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| ReBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -3.01%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.88%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.36%E -3.41%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.77%E -5.08%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-28 02:11 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21% | 8.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.05% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.26% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26% | 10.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26% | 10.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73% | 17.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |