預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Tampa Bay Lightning v Minnesota Wild

開賽時間： 2026-03-24 23:40 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (13 家納入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Tampa Bay Lightning (主隊)

預測 58.58%1.71公平賠率

EV -1.59%

優勢 -0.946%

Kelly -2.34%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.68

博彩公司預測分布

57.14%58.69%58.56%60.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.501.631.631.6866.67%61.40%61.35%59.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Minnesota Wild (客隊)

預測 41.42%2.41公平賠率

EV +0.656%

優勢 +0.270%

Kelly +0.459%

成長率 +0.003%

假設最高賠率為 2.43

博彩公司預測分布

39.55%41.31%41.44%42.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.122.312.322.4347.17%43.23%43.10%41.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Tampa Bay Lightning (主隊)：58.58%；Minnesota Wild (客隊)：41.42%。對於「Minnesota Wild (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.41的公平十進位賠率。當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.43，對應+0.656%的正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
betPARX🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV +0.656%E +0.270%K +0.459%G +0.003%	3.7%	2026-03-24 23:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV +0.656%E +0.270%K +0.459%G +0.003%	3.7%	2026-03-24 23:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.586%E -0.244%K -0.419%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-24 23:34
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.586%E -0.244%K -0.419%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-24 23:26
Everygame🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.14%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.24%E -0.951%K -1.65%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-24 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-24 23:35
ReBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-24 23:29
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-24 23:34
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-24 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-24 23:35
Fliff🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-24 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-24 23:34
Pinnacle🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.59%E -0.946%K -2.34%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-03-24 23:35
Bet Right🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-24 23:35
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-24 23:33
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-24 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-24 23:35
BetAnything🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-24 23:35
FanDuel🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-24 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-24 23:33
SportsBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-24 23:34
GTbets🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-24 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-24 23:35
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-24 23:35
Coral🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-24 23:34
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-24 23:29
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-24 23:35
BetUS🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-24 23:35
PlayUp🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-24 23:34
NordicBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-24 23:35
Betsson🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-24 23:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.14%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-24 23:35
Neds🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.14%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-24 23:34
TAB🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-24 23:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-24 23:34
Bet Victor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-24 23:32
DraftKings🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.59%E -0.946%K -2.34%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.22%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-24 23:35
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.13%E -8.09%K -24.27%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.18%E -5.75%K -10.88%G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-03-24 23:29

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
BetOpenly◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%	2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%	0.0%	2026-03-24 23:29
ProphetX◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%	0.8%	2026-03-24 23:35
Polymarket◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-03-24 23:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%	1.2%	2026-03-24 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%	1.2%	2026-03-24 23:35
Matchbook◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%	1.6%	2026-03-24 23:35
Novig◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%	1.7%	2026-03-24 23:35
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%	1.9%	2026-03-24 23:35
Smarkets◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%	2.3%	2026-03-24 23:35

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (21)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	選項 3	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%	3.3%	2026-03-24 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%	3.3%	2026-03-24 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%	3.3%	2026-03-24 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%	3.3%	2026-03-24 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.77%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%	4.3%	2026-03-24 23:29
Coolbet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%	4.6%	2026-03-24 23:34
Marathon Bet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80%	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.00%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%	4.7%	2026-03-24 23:29
1xBet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.79%	2.97I 33.67%NM 32.14%	4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07%	4.8%	2026-03-24 23:29
Unibet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.83%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%	5.6%	2026-03-24 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%	5.8%	2026-03-24 23:34
Casumo🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%	5.8%	2026-03-24 23:34
Grosvenor🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%	5.8%	2026-03-24 23:35
TABtouch🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%	6.4%	2026-03-24 23:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%	6.8%	2026-03-24 23:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.13%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%	7.7%	2026-03-24 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%	8.2%	2026-03-24 23:34
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%	8.3%	2026-03-24 23:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%	4.05I 24.69%NM 22.64%	9.0%	2026-03-24 23:27
Codere (IT)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%	9.4%	2026-03-24 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%	9.4%	2026-03-24 23:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.54%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%	10.2%	2026-03-24 23:31