L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tampa Bay Lightning v Minnesota Wild
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Prévision 58.58%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.946%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.69%58.56%60.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.631.6866.67%61.40%61.35%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Minnesota Wild (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.42%2.41cote équitable
EV +0.656%
Avantage +0.270%
Kelly +0.459%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%41.31%41.44%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.312.322.4347.17%43.23%43.10%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV +0.656%E +0.270%K +0.459%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV +0.656%E +0.270%K +0.459%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.586%E -0.244%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.586%E -0.244%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:26 |
| Everygame | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.24%E -0.951%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.59%E -0.946%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-24 23:33 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 23:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 23:32 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.59%E -0.946%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.22%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.13%E -8.09%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.18%E -5.75%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 0.0% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.79% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.14% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 23:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.64% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 23:27 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.54% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69% | 10.2% | 2026-03-24 23:31 |