Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken v Nashville Predators

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 49.87%2.01fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.56%49.77%49.87%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.911.911.9956.50%52.25%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Predators (Visit)

Prediction 50.13%1.99fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.23%50.13%51.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.901.9557.14%52.77%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 49.87%; Nashville Predators (Visit): 50.13%. For Seattle Kraken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -0.767%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.767%E -0.385%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.767%E -0.385%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-11 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 01:50
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 01:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 01:49
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 02:05
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 02:00
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 01:45
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:54
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.22%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 01:50
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.22%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 22:00
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 14:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 14:10
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 14:08
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:00
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:00
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 15:50
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 14:10
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 14:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 02:00
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.74%E -6.63%K -15.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.27%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-11 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-11 02:00
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-11 01:59
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-11 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-03-11 02:05
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-03-11 02:00
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-03-11 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-03-11 02:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-11 02:00
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-03-11 02:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-10 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-10 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-10 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-10 15:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%4.4%2026-03-11 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.40%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.56%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-03-11 01:59
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-11 01:59
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%4.9%2026-03-11 01:59
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-10 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-10 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-10 15:50
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-10 15:55
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-10 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-11 01:50
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-03-10 15:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-11 02:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-11 01:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.01%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%9.2%2026-03-11 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-11 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-11 02:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-11 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%10.9%2026-03-11 02:03