La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.767%E -0.385%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.767%E -0.385%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 01:49 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| ReBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 01:45 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 20:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.22%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.22%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:08 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 14:09 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.74%E -6.63%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.27%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| BetOpenly | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Novig | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.40% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.56% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.01% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.05% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42% | 10.9% | 2026-03-11 02:03 |