L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.99
avec la cote maximale 1.95
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.767%E -0.385%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.767%E -0.385%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 01:49 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| ReBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 01:45 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 20:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.22%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.22%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 14:08 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 15:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 14:10 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 14:09 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.74%E -6.63%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.27%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| BetOpenly | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Novig | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.40% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.56% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 01:59 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 15:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.01% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.05% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42% | 10.9% | 2026-03-11 02:03 |