语言:简体中文
Pittsburgh Penguins v Vegas Golden Knights
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)
预测 42.51%2.35公平赔率
EV -0.103%
优势 -0.044%
Kelly -0.076%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
41.25%42.46%42.50%43.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.46%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Vegas Golden Knights (客队)
预测 57.49%1.74公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -3.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
56.70%57.54%57.50%58.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.661.671.7065.36%60.18%59.88%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)：42.51%；Vegas Golden Knights (客队)：57.49%。 对于“Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.352。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.350，期望值为-0.103%，未产生正期望值。
有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.103%E -0.044%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.103%E -0.044%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.528%E -0.226%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.953%E -0.409%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.953%E -0.409%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.23%E -0.969%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.23%E -0.969%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.08%E -1.35%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 17:47 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.63%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.01%E -5.80%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.04%E -7.87%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 17:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 17:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.52% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.35% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 18:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 44.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |