La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Penguins v Vegas Golden Knights

Inizio: 2026-03-01 18:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Casa)

Previsione 42.51%2.35quota equa
EV -0.103%
Vantaggio -0.044%
Kelly -0.076%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.25%42.46%42.50%43.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.46%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vegas Golden Knights (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.49%1.74quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.70%57.54%57.50%58.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.661.671.7065.36%60.18%59.88%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.103%E -0.044%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 18:04
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.103%E -0.044%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 18:04
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.528%E -0.226%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 18:04
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.953%E -0.409%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 18:04
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.953%E -0.409%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 18:04
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.23%E -0.969%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 18:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.23%E -0.969%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 17:49
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.08%E -1.35%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-01 17:44
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 17:15
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 01:00
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 15:20
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 16:49
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:24
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:18
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 16:49
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 17:47
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:04
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 17:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 17:39
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 17:39
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 17:49
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.63%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 17:49
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 17:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 01:00
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:14
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:14
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:44
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 23:14
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.01%E -5.80%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.04%E -7.87%K -22.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 16:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%0.7%2026-03-01 18:04
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-03-01 18:05
BetOpenly2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-03-01 17:59
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-01 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-03-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-03-01 18:00
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-03-01 17:29
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-03-01 18:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-01 17:39
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-01 17:40
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-01 17:40
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-01 17:40
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%4.0%2026-03-01 16:29
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.5%2026-03-01 17:18
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.52%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%4.6%2026-03-01 17:44
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-03-01 17:54
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-01 17:39
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-01 17:39
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-01 17:39
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-01 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-03-01 17:49
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-03-01 17:39
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-03-01 17:59
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-03-01 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%8.3%2026-03-01 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-03-01 18:00
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%9.1%2026-03-01 17:44
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%9.8%2026-03-01 17:49
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.35%10.5%2026-03-01 18:03
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%2.01I 49.75%NM 44.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-03-01 17:59